Followers of Chinese politics will not be surprised to hear that Xi Jinping (习近平), a current member of the CPC Central Committee and a member of the Communist Party of China’s (CPC) central committee received his next to last promotion today, a nod from the 17th Plenary of the CPC to take on an additional role as vice-chairman of the Central Military Commission.

Xi Jinping (习近平)
Why is this his penultimate promotion you ask? Because from here there is nowhere to go but up. Deng Xiaoping, before stepping down as leader of China in the early 1990s, made sure to hold onto one position, Chairman of the Central Military Commission. As the great Mao Zedong said, “Power grows from the barrell of the gun” and this move helped Deng to continue influencing power after ceding the CPC Chairman (like the U.S. President) position to Jiang Zemin. It was only after several years in power that Jiang Zemin was able to wrest this military commission chairmanship from Deng. Ever since, the last committee future CPC Chairmen are nominated to by the CPC is that vice-Chairman of the Central Military Commission. Then, when formally taking on the CPC Chairman position, they also are nominated to be the Central Military Commission’s Chairman.
Last year there was a bit of speculation when Xi Jinping, expected by everyone to be nominated to the Central Military Commission during last year’s CPC plenary, went home somewhat empty handed. Does Hu Jintao, the current CPC Chairman and CMC Chairman, want to hold onto some power after retirement? We’ll see; delaying the rise of Xi Jinping to the Central Military Commission might allow Hu Jintao to remain on in that position through 1-2 years of a Xi Jinping Chairmanship, keeping Xi Jinping from consolidating his own power within the Chinese Communist Party. Xi Jinping is now expected to take the reigns of power from Hu Jintao in 2013. One of my colleagues pointed out that another indication a change of leadership is coming is that in the official Chinese media, there are an increasing number of newspaper articles that offer direct quotes from Xi Jinping, something generally reserved only for the highest leaders.
One of the big changes in Chinese politics, which is not all that obvious since Chinese politics is rather opaque, is that new leaders like Xi Jinping are now being chosen more by consensus from within the Communist Party of China. Mao Zedong “annointed” Hua Guofeng his successor, Deng Xiaoping then nominated Jiang Zemin, etc., but now there seems to be some amount democratic consensus at work within the party in choosing the next Chinese leader. Enough intrigue for one day?
Here is what the Economist had to say this week: China’s Succession: The Next Emporer



